The issue of Biafra is no longer a national issue. There
are many interest international power brokers who are no longer ready to sit
idle at the fence watching the events unveiling. These interests’ parties have
their various degrees at which they would love to get committed into the
tussle. While Biafrans led by Mazi Nnamdi Kanu is driving deep into currying
western supports and by extension, other key non-western blocs, Nigeria led by
the Fulanis are driving towards China and her allies.
This write up is
geared towards assessing what various parties’ choice of allies seeking might
result to.
POSSIBLE TEAM NIGERIA (UNITED KINGDOM, CHINA, TURKEY,
PARKISTAN AND IRAN)
Speculatively, I see these above countries to possibly
throw in their supports to Nigeria. It is important to also state here that
their power possessions vary as they on their individual levels have different
power stake.
UNITED KINGDOM
This is the mother nation to Nigeria. Britain would wish
to have Nigeria remain even if not on oil benefit, but to run her as a
mercantile outlet for British products now EU future market is not guaranteed
and the current Donald Trump’s protectionist market policy. But what Britain
can’t go too deep into, is to get her economy sank into a war she will lose.
She would rather get the Biafra question resolved diplomatically which is less
expensive to her than to get involved into war that involves present Biafra
generation. On one hand, Britain feels cheated and manoeuvred by Nnamdi Kanu
who established the Radio Biafra London in UK before now. To UK, it is a difficult thing to explain
that she “doesn’t want Biafra she is hosting her Radio Station”.
To the Nigerian Government, it is a silly explanation for
one who is housing the assets of their enemies to come and tell them that she
is not in support of Biafra. For Britain to convince Nigeria to the contrary,
she needs extra commitment which Britain is also careful to handle. For instance,
Nigerian Government have often protested to UK over broadcast of RBL from
London, but Britain knowing too well the damage involved in going
extra-judicial in handling the issue, often times choose to neglect Nigeria’s
protest. Countries of Africa (Anglophone
countries) who would have been sympathetic to Nigeria, often feel that British
Government who licensed Radio Biafra London wants Nigeria disintegrated. This is a serious hook that Britain is
struggling to explain to the world!
CHINA
China as a newly emerging market is careful not to drag
her growing but unstable economy into crises. Cases abound, where china ought
rightly refused to be dragged into war, knowing too well that such is American
ploy to get her emerging economy dwindled. In Korea Peninsula, China abandoned
North Korea when it becomes obvious that Donald Trump was ready to Bomb North
Korea. Trump deployment of America B-Bombers which are all nuclear delivery
agents, forced China to distance herself from the sick North Korea.
In Djibouti which is in Horn of Africa, China and United
States are on strong soft war which Beijing tries to reduce tensions. In South
Sudan, China is making effort to get her interest which contradicts American
interest to be hidden under UN operation.
It doesn’t mean China is showing fear, but truth be told, an economic
conscious country like China who ones was ravaged by poverty would not want her
nursing and nurturing economy be destroyed by economical stable United states. China
understands how United States wants to wreck her down through wars, and she
tries to avoid that.
From Obama Asian
Pivot to Trump’s B-Bomber deployment down to the present Hong Kong crises are
soft American traps to get China entangled into devastative trap. China has
read histories widely and understands how America used artificially external
created wars to wreck down the defunct USSR. And to china, she doesn’t want to
get into American created wars for her.
It is this Chinese scepticism that forced Nigeria to look unto Russia
for arms. China doesn’t want to be dragged into cold war with United States
over Nigerian affairs, and that singular act made the Nigerian Government to
look for arm procurement from Russia. But if truth be told, IPOB have a
comparative advantage to engage China not necessary to arm Biafrans, but to
remain neutral in the Biafra-Nigeria ongoing battle. Getting China to delink
from any kind of support to Nigeria will be the final collapse of the
contraption.
TURKEY
The trapped turkey would have loved to give support to
the Nigerian government as Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is trying hard to position
himself and turkey as the "Voice of Islam”. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan thinks
that the failure of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States not to confront Israel
rather are under romance with the state of Israel is a betrayal to the Muslim
Umar.
So, if Turkey is
to support Nigeria, she would do that under the flag of Islam. But
unfortunately, Turkey is trapped into Syria which only Heaven knows when and
how she will come out from the mess Trump created for her. She is facing
serious economic challenges due to the immigrant’s influx and the current war
she uncalculatively walked into in Syria.
Saudi and the rest
of Gulf States are not happy with Turkey self-made leader of Muslim world. For
instance, during the time of Qatar blockade by Saudi and other gulf states with
Egypt inclusive, Turkey stood on the side of Qatar with Iran against Saudi Arabia
and her friends which were interpreted by Saudi Arabia as a direct challenge by
Turkey. Such a country with magnitude of challenges will never wished to have
herself lump into Nigerian mess.
PARKISTAN AND IRAN
Pakistan has been a source of Nigeria arms and other
Islamic teachings and techniques. Pakistan has been known as technically failed
state which is control by powerful military personnel who are sympathetic to
Islamic course. Though claimed to be “democratic state”, the world knows the
role of Pakistan in destabilization of Afghanistan through the Taliban. Even
Osama Bin Laden got his safe haven in Pakistan and India today is suffering the
effects of having such extremist country as neighbour.
In case of Biafra-Nigeria crises, Pakistan if approach
can give advisory role to Nigeria as she currently has no money to share as she
is currently suffering due to Donald Trump’s withdrawal of American aid to her
due to her anti-Israel postures. Today,
Pakistan is also foreseeing outbreak of war with India over Kashmir and would love
to concentrate on the big trouble (India) than a distance African nation.
Iran also would wish to fall in as Saudi Arabia who is
currently in love with Israel would not want to fight against “Jewish State of
Biafra” freedom. But the serious
challenge facing Iran is how to explain to her people and Nigerian Shiites that
she is trying to save a Sunni regime of Nigeria that is still holding Sheik
Ibrahim Al-Zakzaky whom Iran had warned Nigerian Sunni Government against. Also
the USA walked out from JCPOA, reintroduction of sanctions and Iran current
moving back to pre JCPOA behaviours is a serious headache to Iran. That alone
with the Yamen crises is enough for her. Also, Syria, Iraq and Lebanon crises
which are interests’ areas for Iran is enough trouble for Iran. Such a country
with multiple problems with high less revenue sources due to American sanctions
would love to face regional problem than Nigerian one.
POSSIBLE TEAM BIAFRA (ISRAEL, USA, EU,)
ISRAEL
Israel is not hiding her support for Biafra. For Israel,
a trust worthy man is found in Nnamdi Kanu and such a man who wants the best
from his people must be supported. Israel founds pride in associating with a
smart and intelligent fellow who is not shy in unearthing his Jewishness. If
there is anything Israel would love to see soon, it is a “Jewish State” in
Africa. Israel understands the challenge of getting this done, but like in
their manners, Israel derives pride in making sure her dreams are achieved
despite the cumbersome challenges. If there is anything Nnamdi Kanu is enjoying
today, it is the smiles of state of Israel.
The clear involvement of state of Israel in Biafrans
freedom sends a lot of countries to play with caution including Britain.
Britain understands the place of Israel in her “Government Communications
Headquarters, commonly known as GCHQ”. A government that is receiving such
magnitude of safety communication from Israel wouldn’t want to fight against
Israel. No wonder Britain chooses to tour Biafraland than instigating for war.
Israel would wish to use Nnamdi Kanu and Biafra case to teach lessons to
countries who would dream to toy with the Jews. The most difficult thing now to
Nigeria and Britain is how Nnamdi Kanu would be talked away from wearing Jewish
religion wears which is taking the challenge beyond State of Israel to world
Jewry. Nigeria fears Israel’s
advancements in Sahel, ECOWAS and AU is geared towards aiding Biafra struggle.
To Nigeria, Chad, Niger, Togo and others have betrayed her and must be deprived
of those benefits they get from Nigerian Market.
It is this smart play of the Biafran struggle to
Jerusalem that made Nigeria to think that Nnamdi Kanu is dangerous and over
smart to undermined. What one is struggling to understand is how Nnamdi Kanu
gave the Biafra struggle a multi-dimensional definition. The world is scared if
Israel (a Nuclear Possessor) would watch and see the Biafran Jews murdered in
millions again! Some social analysts are beginning to understand what Nnamdi
Kanu meant by saying “if care is not taken, Biafra will cause third world war”.
USA
Unite State Government feels unhappy with the way things
are going especially in Nigeria. To USA, Nigeria government is running away
from her responsibilities with the lie that Nnamdi Kanu and IPOB only wants
war. The failure of the Nigerian government not to adhere to the United States
advice to engage IPOB on dialogue makes United States to frown at Nigeria.
Unfortunately, on her failed assassination attempts on Nnamdi Kanu, United
States got to know that Nigeria is a lawless and crook state that must be
crumbled. Today, all efforts by the Nigerian government to survive are under
severe blockade diplomatically. Surprisingly, USA have opened up for Nnamdi
Kanu that he may present his case which he is doing assiduously and
intelligently. The rest is not for here.
EU
European Union which have sort audience with Nnamdi Kanu
feels that if Britain should decide their fate on the regional bloc, that such
should be extended to the Biafran people.
On Russia, it will be a separate discourse.
Written by:
Chika Austine
For: Imo State Media
Edited by:
Lolo Oby Mboma
For: Imo State Media
Published by:
Chibuike John Nebeokike
For: Imo State Media
0 comments so far,add yours