Recently some group of self-acclaimed local "journalists" who don't understand anything other than the incoherent local developments, came to mock my write ups on Biafran Diplomacy as presently championed by the leadership of the Indigenous People of Biafra. After reading the highly empirical decommissioned vomits, I resolved not to respond, as the foolishness of the underdeveloped nations doesn't impede on the progression of the progressive nations. So, what does it mean to allot times (which is non-renewable resources) to deluded elements?
With all sense of humility and thanks to Chukwuokike Abiama,
I will say without equivocation that I am knowledgeable in diplomatic
discourses. Not as a graduate of the field, but by my post graduate passions
and curiosity to diplomacy. It is true
that 90% of local people in Nigeria don't care of dynamics of international
politics, but this area of politicking has been my area of interest since my
infant age. Therefore, I know what I am talking about, because diplomacy knows
me!
HERE COMES THE ANALYSES
HOW FAR IS IPOB DOING DIPLOMATICALLY?
In the words of Shakespeare, “fair is fowl and fowl are
fair". To the liberals, IPOB diplomatically deserves an accolade. To the
conservatives, that accolade should not be given until Biafra is restored as a
sovereign state. It is on these two
juxtapositions that I will develop the discourse and equally make an inference
as much as possible.
LIBERALS VIEW
Diplomacy is a "state craft" which winners are
determined according to the player's strength.
A lot of things have happened that one would consider IPOB as the
winner. In contemporary international politics, the world is by principle
divided into two parts visa-vis China led group and US led group. While the Chinese group mostly brag on the
wealth of their leader (China), especially interns of manoeuvring US led
sanctions. The US led group don't only
brag on the wealth of US, they equally brag on the military might of US and her
strong hold on many global institutions and service providing multinational
giants. This later feature of US led
group give them an edge over Chinese group.
In Africa today, while China is making her footprints in
Tanzania and few Eastern African countries, US is concentrated on Sahel and few
West African countries except Nigeria. All the African countries would want to
maintain cordial relationship with US group due to the global edge the group
maintains.
Same is applicable to what Nigeria would want to have.
But unfortunately, the IPOB question robbed Nigeria of these great
opportunity. IPOB has always played what
I termed a scissors diplomacy against Nigeria.
What is this scissors diplomacy all about? This is the act of destroying Nigeria's
relationship with her friends internationally. In the case of US, IPOB in 2016
smartly destroyed earlier, what supposed to be a smooth relationship between
the newly formed governments in US and Nigeria through the Trump Rally held in Port
Harcourt. As incalculable as Nigeria was, she felt into the smartly drafted
plot and that redefined the US government view of the new Nigeria government of
the time.
Also, the heavy agitations and protests put up by
Biafrans as at the time in discourse and the barbaric response to it by the
Nigeria government worsen the whole scenario. All secret pressures by the US
government for Nigerian government to quickly engage IPOB leadership were
rebuffed by the Nigerian government. This followed US pressure through Saudi
Arabia on Nigeria which Nigeria snubbed and instead was deceived by Iran and
Turkey to chart a new relation with them, Pakistan, Qatar and China. Without counting the cost, Nigeria
activated full relationship with these group due to US and her team refusal to
support her clamp down on IPOB and Biafrans. Here IPOB succeeded in her
scissors strategies! Nigeria felt it will be easy to snub US and survived, she
never understands the global connection of US and her friends.
HERE THE COLD WAR BEGAN!
To punish Nigeria over her stupidity, US decided to use
covert undoing on Nigeria which is sabotaging her mono-economy which is
basically oil driven. She did this by
putting pressures on Nigeria oil buyers to make alternate route. To Malaysia, she was pressured to leave and
Malaysia left. To India, a waiver was extended to her to shop from Iran oil
than Nigeria which India in consideration to proximity welcomed the US oil
waiver on Iran. To worsen issues, Saudi Arabia being a US Allie was encouraged
to pump excess crude in OPEC market in other to draw down the oil price which
automatically hampers Nigeria oil revenue and comatose economy.
To survive, Nigeria ran to Britton Wood institutions (IMF
and WORLD BANK) and other western lenders for loan which US blocked. A
frustrated Nigeria in desperation ran to China which conditions were marshalled
out for her and we’re inimical to her relationship to the western nations. For instance, the Chinese Yuan swap with
Naira was anti Dollar policy imposed on the headless Nigeria by China which
despite what Nigerians were told of are the "benefits" is today curse
to her. Today, too many aid receivables
from US and her western allies to Nigeria is halted. Poor Nigeria is dying slowly and steady,
courtesy of IPOB scissors diplomacy.
SAUDI ARABIA ROLL
Ordinarily, Nigeria would have done well if the
government was humble enough to listen to US and others. In the arrogancy of the Aso Rock Cabals, they
ran to Saudi Arabia's enemies (Iran, Turkey and Qatar) in other to avert US
pressure. To Saudi Arabia, Nigeria’s
choice of Iran, Turkey and Qatar is meant to humiliate her footprints in
Nigeria and will not be tolerated. She
decided to mobilized neighbouring Arab countries like Chad, Niger Republic and
others to withdraw their supports against Boko Haram and other criminal
elements fighting in Northern Nigeria. Their withdrawal escalated and deteriorated
the northern Nigeria security situation as presently seen. Today, the entire
Nigeria is ruined by insecurity and China can't do much on this as she is in
here for economic exploration not security concern.
Saudi would want to teach Nigeria a lesson on what it
means to make friendship with Qatar and Iran.
To Saudi, if Nigeria is not dealt with, other Sahel countries will not
learn. From all indications, it looks
like the cabals don't care as they are still inviting Qatar and Iran reps as a retaliation
against Saudi Arabia. Will Saudi encourage a proxy war in northern Nigeria as a
destabilisation gimmick is what I don't know. But the proliferation of lite
arms and weapons in northern Nigeria is a clear indication of the fact that
someone is funnelling arms to northern Nigeria via the Sahel neighbours.
Saudi/Nigeria relationship is at it zero level that
Nigeria pilgrims are treated badly by Saudi Arabia officials and all efforts by
Nigeria to correct this is responded by Saudi Arabia officials as a voice from
nuisance nation. What a shame!
HERE COMES ISRAEL
While Saudi Arabia is distancing herself from Palestinian
affairs, Nigeria was deceived by Iran and turkey to champion it from
Africa. To Israel, Nigeria must be
treated as a threat. In various outing
of the president of Nigeria, Palestinian case has been exonerated as if there
is nothing else to talk about. While
Iran, turkey and Pakistan welcome this naked dance of Nigeria, Israel, Egypt
and gulf states view such an action as despicable and mustn't be
tolerated.
Israel would not want to clearly take up Nigeria madness
cure as much are waiting in future. She
has announced in Chad of her intentions to join the Chadian army to combat Boko
Haram which such means a lot. Could this mean such Israel's operation in
Syria? Where she will enter Nigeria
airspace at will in search of Boko Haram which Nigeria's attempts to react
might mean what you think than what I think.
HOW WISHES TURNED TO DISAPPOINTMENTS
Nigeria foreign policy initiators were full of illusions
than realities. They felt that with China,
Iran, turkey and Pakistan, their problems will be solved overnight. Never!
When you assume, you ask me and yourself. Nigeria is asking herself because she dared
to assume! Today, those she depended on
for solution on security matters are burden with other internal issues and not
really interested in external engagements. Their problems
CHINA
The land disputes between China and her neighbours is
making China not to be concentrating on external issues much. Besides, if China will be interested in
Nigeria security challenges, I believe she would love to be partly involved on
armed selling and not getting her soldiers to combat the terrorists.
Even on armed selling,
international armed treaties don't allow Nigeria to get all she wants from
armed market. So, to China, she would
prefer economic engagement than military engagement in Nigeria. Also giving
military assistance to a country US and her friends are not happy with might
attract great loss to her which China is not ready to risk.
IRAN
Iran is trapped in Yemen and Syria. She has loss too many of her resources in
Yemen and Syria that such loss is really painful. If such a geographical proximity war could be
that costly to Iran, why would her engaging militarily in Nigeria not being too
expensive for her. Besides, countries
fight for strategic interests, in the case of Iran, Nigeria is not a Shiite
dominated country to stake for, rather a Sunni Muslim dominated state that came
to her out of frustration. So, Iran
would want to give an advisory role than full engagements.
PAKISTAN
Pakistan got to her present mess due to her covert role
in supplying Nigeria arms that United State never wanted Nigeria to have. Today, she is stripped of all the US
government aid which is causing a lot of hardships among Pakistanis. Also, her
disturbing conflicts with India poses a big diversion for her. If there is anything Pakistan is mindful of,
it is watching at her arch enemy India and not Nigeria's problem.
TURKEY
Turkey equally has her own disturbing internal
challenges. From Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
party lost of popular vote in just concluded election, to the Syria crises,
down to current US sanctions over the purchase Russian defence system. So,
these problems are much for Turkey to mind Nigeria.
BRITAIN
The abandoning of Nigeria due to her life-threatening
problems has forced Nigeria considering replacing Russia (which is British arch
enemy) with Britain. From BREXIT, to Northern Ireland crises, down to Gibraltar
crises with Spain are already huge challenges to Nigeria mother aka
Britain. No wonder no one can
effectively lobby for Nigeria as those British diplomats previously standing
for Nigeria are now focusing on their parent nation internal problems,
abandoning Nigeria to fate. What a
horror days ahead!
CAN RUSSIA SAVE?
Present Nigeria decision to go to Russia will attract
attack from Britain against Nigeria.
Whatever be the development that forced Nigeria to go to Russia now is a
serious issue.
IPOB
No time in history of Nigeria has she been made an
international outcast than this dispensation of IPOB. Could it be said that
IPOB is eaten up Nigeria internally for natural demise of Nigeria? Having
enumerated these comatose states of Nigeria which IPOB has forced her into, I
can now see reasons the anger feted cabals see IPOB as a terrorist group which
the world laughed at. What Nigeria don’t understand is that IPOB is pushing her
towards her demise without a gun shot.
How Nigeria will survive this hypersonic intelligence of IPOB is what I
don't know.
Written by:
Chika Austin
For: Imo State Media
Edited by:
Oby Mboma
For: Imo State Media
Published by:
Chibuike John Nebeokike
For: Imo State Media
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